Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta Falcons: Betting Odds Analysis, NFL Pick

 Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta Falcons betting odds, analysis, NFL pick


Atlanta Falcons (12-5) will face off against the Green Bay Packers (12-6), for the second time in this season's NFC Championship Game. They are solid home favorites.


Atlanta beat Green Bay 33 to 32 in the first meeting. However, Atlanta failed to win Week 8 by three points home after trailing by as much as eight in the second half.


Point spread: According to OddsShark, the Falcons opened as 5.5 points favorites. The total rose to 59.5 in the early part of the week. (Line updates and matchup reports)


OddsShark Computer: NFL Pick: 35.6-18.4 Falcons.


Why the Packers can help you spread the word


After beginning a four game losing streak at the Georgia Dome in October and transforming themselves into a different team, the Packers are now a completely different team.


Green Bay has won eight straight after a thrilling 34–31 victory over the Dallas Cowboys. They were five-point road favorites and are now 7-1 against the spread. The visitor has been a formidable 10-1 ATS in the 11 matches in this matchup. The Packers covered the last one.


The Falcons can help cover the spread


The Falcons are the NFL's most prolific offense, thanks to Matt Ryan (the league MVP favorite), who is almost unstoppable when Julio Jones is on the field.


Jones was limited to three catches and 29 yards in the first meeting. But, Jones is one of few difference-makers at the wide receiver position. His ability to draw multiple defenses makes him a valuable player. Atlanta teammates Mohamed Sanu (Atlant) and Taylor Gabriel (Green Bay) ravaged Green Bay's secondary with 12 catches, totaling 152 yards and 2 touchdowns. This shows how valuable Jones is when he is there.


The Falcons won a decisive 36-20 victory over the Seattle Seahawks. As 6.5-point favorites at home, they are now 5-2 straight and ATS in their seven previous games against teams with winning records. An online prediction site has given Atlanta an additional 55.4 percent chance of reaching Super Bowl.


Smart choice


Jones was unable to play in Weeks 14 and 15, due to a toe injury he suffered last Saturday. Jordyn Nelson, the Packers counterpart, has 14 touchdowns.


It's hard to imagine Rodgers able to keep his magic on the football without Nelson (ribs), with a running system that had not allowed one player to rush for 500 yards during the regular-season. Although most betting trends are against the Falcons in this spot they are the favourite to win and cover any spread on the NFL lines in the rematch.


Betting trends


The visiting team has a record of 10-1 ATS in the matchup's 11 most recent games.


The Packers are 3-0 ATS in the last three games they played on the road against Falcons.


The Falcons have won the last five home playoffs.


In 20 of the Packers’ last 24 games against NFC South division, it was over.


Bleacher Report's official partner in odds, OddsShark. All NFL lines and betting trend information. Unless noted otherwise, all quotes were collected firsthand. For injury and line-movement updates, follow us on Twitter. You can also find OddsShark YouTube pages for picks or analysis. Tparkles - Betting on the Falcons

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